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A recent survey of ancient and contemporary societies whose original ascendancy
was followed by collapse includes a chapter devoted to Easter Island
with its land area of
66 sq. miles and an estimated peak human population (depending on the study surveyed) of between
6,000 and 30,000 people
(See Jared Diamond's book Collapse, 2005)
Taking a mid-range peak population estimate of approximately 15,000,
the following mathematics obtains:
Assume that each person, while standing, is, on average, approximately two
feet width at shoulders and 1.5 feet front to back, so that each individual physically
occupies (2) x (1.5) = approximately
3 sq. feet of space
Thus, 15,000 people x 3 sq. feet
each would occupy approximately ~ 45,000 sq. feet.
Since one square mile = 27,878,400 sq. feet, the total "empty space" on the island amounts to
66 square miles
times 27,878,400 for a total island area of
~ 1,839,974,400 sq. feet
Since a total of approximately 45,000 sq. feet
is physically occupied by the 15,000 residents,
45,000 sq feet divided by 1,839,974,400
sq. feet (the total existing area) equals:
2.44568 x 10 -5 = .000 02446
or . 2.45 / 1000ths of 1%.
(a) 1% of 1,839,974,400 = .01 x 1,839,974,400 = 18,399,744 sq. feet
(b) 1/10th of 1%:
.001 x 1,839,974,400 = 1,839,974 sq. feet
(c) 1/100th of 1%:
.000 1 x 1,839,974,400 =
183,997 sq. feet
(d) 1/1000th of 1%:
.000 01 x 1,839,974,400 = 18,399 sq. feet (e) 3/1000ths of 1%:
.000 03 x 1,839,974,400
= 55,199 sq. feet
Thus, at its peak, the
human population of Easter Island probably occupied less than 3/1000ths of 1%
of the island's total available area
In
addition, since 100% minus 3/1000ths of 1%
equals 99.999 97 %
the total percentage of unoccupied "open space" at the time of collapse
was approximately . 99.999
97 %.
Thus, Easter Island's human population, its environment, and
its society underwent catastrophic collapse
even when .99.999
97 %. of the island remained unoccupied.
In
other words, collapse occurred even
as "vast amounts of open-space"
remained theoretically-available
In other words, we see still another history
that ended in collapse, this time involving a human society confined to an island with limited resources.
In addition, the above collapse occurred
even as "vast amounts of open-space"
remained theoretically-available to the island's human occupants
Footnote 1:
Just like Easter Island, earth itself is, after all, also an island (in space),
and
though earth is many times larger in size than Easter Island, so is the size of our population
Footnote 2: The similarity of our situation and that of the peak population of Easter Island is not perfect,
however.
The humans on Easter Island constituted
a pre-industrial society that could deforest their environment,
kill all of its birds and most of its seabirds, and overexploit its resources
Unlike
us, however, they could not generate billions of tons of CO2 and
industrial wastes
and plunder resources from all parts of the planet
In addition, they had no industrial wastes, automobile exhausts, oxidized fossil fuels, chlorofluorocarbons,
mercury wastes, logging concessions, investment portfolios, and mechanized fishing fleets with which to assault
their environment
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